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 WAS GOOD TOO. THE PRIMARY MODEL HAD THE SAME STO/WK PTS. A
 COMBINATION WAS USED FOR THIS JOAF PD. ALOFT, THE CUT-OFF LOW IS
 TRD IN SW TURKEY W/ THE PFJ BRANCH (65KTS) WRAPPING AROUND TO NRN
 EGYPT, EXISTING THRU CNTRL/NRN IRAQ AND INTERACTING W/ THE STJ (100KTS)
  CNTRL EGYPT (SVR TURBC POSS) TO SRN KUWAIT W/ THE PTTRN BCMG DFLNT
 OVR THE NRN AOR. THE RDGG AXIS IS FM THE CASRIAN LWLNDS TO QATAR. IN
 THIS FCST PD, THE UPR LVL LOW WILL OPEN UP AND THE FINAL MAJ S/WV
 WILL MOVE THRU THE MED. THE OCLSN WILL SLWLY MOVE E, APPRCHG IRAN BY
 ~OP, PROVIDING SIGHTLY IMPRVD CONDITIONS BTWN OCLSN AND S/WV.
 THE SFC LOW NOW IN SYRIA WILL MOVE TO THE SE THRU IRAQ AND
 APPRCH KUWAIT BY EOP WNDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY ALNG THE GULF AND NRN
 OR W/ THIS SYS AND CNVRGNC LYING ALNG THE GULF.
 . SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 26/12Z
                 (26N/S2E)-        (22N/64E)           (18N/4OE)
  EMR(C)            36                    27                  23
  AVE DIR           100                  010                 lSO
  PERIOD SEC       4                       8                   4
  EIGHT FT             4                     6                   6
 . PART ~ METSAT DISCUSSION: BASED ON THE 20Z DMSR AND 18Z METEOSAT.
 THE PFJ IS FAIRLY ZONAL AND LIES NEAR 5ON OVR EUROPE. THE CUT-OFF LOW
 S CTRD AT 26N/33E. THE STJ REMAINS ALMOST ZONAL FM W AFRICA NEAR
 IN/OE TO 22N/28E WHERE IT TURNS NERLY OVR THE RDG APEX AT 34N/SOE
 BEFORE TURNING SERLY THRU CNTRL IRAN. MOST OF THF MED HAS SCT-BKN SC
 LYING IT. TWO SMALL AREAS OF LBS ARE ACTIVE, ONE 5 OF CRETE AND
 HE OTHER MOVG ON SHORE OF ISRAEL AND SYRIA. XTNSV AC/AS LYRD.CVRS
M UCH OF IRAQ AND WRN IRAN AND XTNDS S TO THE CNTRL QULF AND W ACROSS
 NTRL SA N OF 24N TO SRN EGYPT, NRN ETHIOPIA TO 30E. CI/CS CVRS ERN
 IRAQ, WRN IRAN KUWAIT, NERN SA AND NRN OULF. A LG AREA OF CONVECTION
  S BOUNDED UY 26N/39E, 24N/44E, 3ON/52E, 33N/SOE AND 33N/SSE. ISOLD
NVCTN IS DSIPTG ALIN TEH MNTS
 A.   SRN OULF, AND NRN ARABIAN SEA ARE VIRTUALLY CID-FREE.
  AREA 10: WINDS:
  NERN/N/CNTRL: lSOlS/20KT ISOLD G28KTS
  AFT 20Z: 22012/18KT
  CNTRL: lS012KT; 20012/20KT AFT 08Z
  NWRN: 24012KT; 28012/18KT AFT 08Z
SWRN: VRB05KT; 22012KT AFT 08Z
  SBY/WX: 7
 NRN: 5HZ; LCLLY 1/45AHZ; ISOLD 2TS/RASH TIL 06Z
NWRN: 4HZ; INTER 0814 4TS/RASH
 SRASHHZ (TS VCNTY) TIL OSZ; LCLLY lSAHZ AFT 08Z
 SERN: ~HZ; RATCHY 1/8FG OOZ TO 06Z
 SWRN: SHZ
  LOUDS: NERN: ~CUO30/060 7AC080LYRD180 6CI200/320 CIG08C
         INTER 0006 3ST010/01S 6SC030/060 CICO3O
         ISOLD 2CB02S/3SO TIL 06Z
         AFT lOZ lSC030/OSO dAC080/120 6CI250/280 CIG080
         NWRN: SSC030/060 SAC080/120 3CI2SO/280 CIG080
         INTER 0814 2CB025/300 4CU030/080 6AC080/120

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