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                            BACKGROUND


INDICATIOMB OF IRAQI UNREST
- DISSENSION WITHIN TEE IRAQI POPULACE
  -- LIMITING REPORTING, PRIMARILY MEDIA


  -- FOREIGN VISITORS COMMENTING ON GREATER DESPONDENCY OBSERVED
     AMONGST THE POPULACE


  -- DEMONSTRATIONS REPORTED IN NUNEROUS SOUTHERN IRAQI CITIES

         AL-SAMAWAH PROVINCE
         AL-DIWANlYAN

     --- AL-HALA
     - - - AL-NAJAF


  -- BAGHDAD, CITIZENS JUBILANT AFTER ANNOUNCEMENT OF PEACE

     PROPOSAL (CNN REPORT)


  -- IRAQI SOLDIERS IN KUWAIT CITY ALSO JUBILANT AT FIRST

         RANDOM FIRING OF WEAPONS, SOME PEOPLE INJURED FROM
         SHRAPNEL


- DISSENSION WITHIN IRAQI FORCES

  -- INCREASE SIGNS OF UNREST WITH TROOPS
         REPORT OF CONFRONTATION BETWEEN IRAQI TROOPS AND MEMBERS
         OF AN EXECUTION BATTALION
              OVER 15 EXECUTING BATTALION MEMBERS KILLED


  -- MEASURES TAKEN TO STOP DESERTIONS SHOWING SIGNS OF DESPERATION
         "DOCUXENT OF OATh"
            - BEING ISSUED TO PEOPLE WITH TROOPS UNDER COMMAND

              LEADERS BEING HELD PERSONALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR
              DEFECTIONS OF SUBORDINATES


  - - IRAQI DESERTIONS COULD BE HIGHER
         FEAR OF REPRISALS FOLLOWING REPATRIATION BY PRESENT REGIME
         SOLDIERS BEING ASKED TO SIGN PERSONAL OATHS

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