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         the Middle East: Syria,
            Iraq, Iran, and Libya
       The continued proliferation of chemical weapons throughout the
     Thfrd World should be a key concern for all Marines. In deed, so vital
     is this topic to the Commandant that he has made it the number one
     priority in the Marine Air-Ground Task Force (MAGTF) Master Plan.
     This article should help focus thinking on this crucial subject-the
     nature ofthe weapons, the dangers they pose, and what can be done
     to defend against them.


                                                                           by Andrew Rathmell

                                                     n the l98Os the number of states the international community to Iraq's
                                                     possessing or developing chemical use of chemical weapons coincided
                                                   warfare (CW) capabilities increased with the lowering of other barriers to
                                                   dramatically. This was particularly proliferation, such as the technical im-
                                                   noticeable in the Middle East. At the pediments,6 which make it easier and
                                                   end of the l970s, only three states less costly for interested states to ac-
                                                   (Egypt, Israel, and Syria) had signifi- quire chemical weapons. Third. as
                                                   cant CW programs.1 By the end of the proliferation gathered pace. all states
                                                   1980s, these states were engaged in up- were forced to consider developing a
                                                   grading their capabilities, while Iraq Cw capability in order to protect
                                                   had joined them as a state with note- themselves.7
                                                   worthy CW forces.2 Additionally, Iran International concern about the dan-
                                                   and Libya were actively trying to de- gers of proliferation grew parallel to
                                                   velop their own CW capabilities, with their use and spread. Even while Mid-
                                                   Jordan3 and Sudan4 following a few dIe Eastern governments became in-
                                                   steps behind. Even states that seemed creasingly active in their search for
                                                   uninterested in following the same CW capabilities, the advanced nations
                                                   route found it necessary to react to tried to develop means to thwart them.
                                                   these developments. Bahrain and Saudi One track was to attempt to negotiate
                                                   Arabia both took steps to develop their a global CW ban, and another was to
                                                   defensive capabilities, while Saudi Ara- design and enforce export controls.
                                                   bia also took initial steps toward ac- This article will describe the devel-
                                                   quiring a strategic delivery system.5 opment of and rationales for the CW
      )                                              This proliferation has snowballed programs of the four Middle Eastern
                                                   since 1983 for three reasons. First, the states that pose the greatest threat to
                                                   Iraqis have demonstrated that, contrary the United States and are most likely
                                                   to conventional wisdom, these weap- to use these weapons in the near fu-
                                                   ons could have significant military ture-namely Syria, Iraq, Iran, and
.1                                                 utility. Second, the muted reaction of Libya.
     Marine &rps Gazette * July 1990                                                                               59


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