OIL SPILL PREDICTIONS 11 MAR 91

File: 102596_aug96_decls2_0002.txt
Page: 0002
Total Pages: 2

Subject: OIL SPILL PREDICTIONS 11 MAR 91                                 

Unit: USS ROOSEV  

Parent Organization: NAVCENTCOM  

Box ID: BX300016

Folder Title: IRR SOURCE DEBRIEFS AND MISC MSGS PART 2 FOLDER 1 OF 3 CNA 1547                                 

Document Number:         12

Folder SEQ  #:          2









                                      UNCLASSIFIED



    SMN 045973

    $LICK ALPHAI
    li/12Z - 16/12ZI SLICK REMAINS CONFINED STWN ABU A61 NORTH TO APPROX
    28-10NI, FROM SHORELINE TO 10-12 NM OFFSHORE* NO BIQNIFZCANT
    SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT EXPECTED THROUGH 16 MAR$
    2, @ FOLLOWING UPDATED PREDICTIONS PROVIDED IRT REPS B AND        go
    SLICK BRAVO, SOURCES AT Z9-4iN6 048-49E$ AND 29-47N2 04@89
    SPILL ASSUMED CONTINUOUS FM 04/12Z FES THROUGH EDP* TYPE 1.16       RUDEI
    FORECAST MINDS NW 19-20 KT3t
    SLICK BRAVOT
    11/12Zt 86ICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE BNG 145 DEG T TO 27-Q5N61     WI
    APPROX 10-20NMe
    12/i2ZI 86ICK EXTENDS  FM SOURCE  BNG  i4S DEG  T TO 27-2SNbe WIDTH
    APPROX l2m25NMO
    13/12Z: 36ICX EXTENDS  FM SOURCE  ONG  145 DEG  T TO 27-25N6o WIDTH
    APPROX 12-25NMI
    14/12Zt SLICK EXTENDS  FM SOURCE  BNG  145 DEG  T TO 27-ISNS# WIDTH
    APPROX 12-25NMO
    15/12Zt 34ICK EXTENDS  FM SOURCE  BNG  145 DEG  T TO 27-IONO# WIDTH
    APPROX 12-2$NMS
    16/12Z: S61CK EXTENDS  FM SOURCE  BNG  145 DEG  T TO 27-BON9t WIDTH
    APPROX 12-25NMe
   .NOTET MODEL PCST DOES  NOT ACCOUNT FOR PERIODIC SPILLING BUT ASSUMES
    CONTINUOUS SPILL PER REF C, BEYOND 60NM FM SOURCE EXPECT SLICK TO BE
    DISCONTINUOUS AND SCATTERED PATCHES AND SHEENS*
    3, W NARRATIVEI SLICK ALPHA REMAINS CONFINED BEHIND ABU ALI
    WITH 4ITT69 CHANCE OF FURTHER SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION IN THE FCST
    PERIOD* 36ICK BRAVO RETAINS BASIC SOUTHEASTWARD ORIENTATION AND
    PROGRESSES SLOWLY To SOUTH* AS PATCHES OF OIL FROM SLICK BRAVO
    PROCEED 3OUTMWARD,# SE WINDS FCSTD FOR LATER IN WEEK COULD PUSH THESE
    PATCHES TOWARD SHORE NEAR AL JUBAYL*
    4, (U) NOAA OVERFLIGHT INFO VALID 10 MAR INDICATES SHEENS AND MOUSSE
    CONTINUE TO BE FOUND ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF BUSIYAN ISLAND ALONG
    WITH PATCHES OF OIL NORTH AND SOUTHEAST OF FAYLAKAH ISLANDs
    ADDITIONAL PATCHES OF OIL EAST OF MINA SUUD WERE OBSERVED$ A SMALL
    PATCH WAS REPORTED ABOUT Jo NM NORTHEAST OF MINA SUUD WITH LARGER
EAST OF MINA SUUDO THE HEAVIEST CONCENTRATIONS
    OF DIL ARE STILL ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN RAS AL GMAR AND ABU ALI
    IS4AND, OIL PATCHES WERE 09SERVED DOT TO ABOUT 60 NM OFFSHORE BETWEEN
    SAFFANIYA AAD A3u ALIO
    St (U) Iko REF 0 FUTURE OIL SPILL. PREDICTIONS WILL BE PROVIDED THREE
    TIMES WEEKLY VICE DAILys
    6* (U) RELEASED BY CDR MALLe//
    DECL/DADR//
    ST








                                         UNCLASSIFIED
    P4GE 2 OF 2

Document 2 f:/Week-34/BX300016/IRR SOURCE DEBRIEFS AND MISC MSGS PART 2 FOLDER 1 OF 3 CNA 1547/oil spill predictions 11 mar 91:10189614514112
Control Fields 17
File Room = aug96_declassified
File Cabinet = Week-34
Box ID = BX300016
Unit = USS ROOSEV
Parent Organization = NAVCENTCOM
Folder Title = IRR SOURCE DEBRIEFS AND MISC MSGS PART 2 FOLDER 1 OF 3 CNA 1547
Folder Seq # = 2
Subject = OIL SPILL PREDICTIONS 11 MAR 91
Document Seq # = 12
Document Date =
Scan Date =
Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980
Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980
Declassified = 18-OCT-1996