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File: 123096_sep96_decls1_0002.txt
Subject: OIL SPILL PREDICTIONS 25 FEB 91
Unit: USS MIDWAY
Parent Organization: NAVCENTCOM
Box ID: BX300028
Folder Title: MESSAGE FILES 19-25 FEB 1991 CNA 2753
Document Number: 21
Folder Seq #: 2
UNCLASSIFIED
$MN 011394
20 THROUGH 27 FEBV
SLICK ALPHA;
25/12Z - 02/12Z: SLICK CONFINED OTWN ABU ALI NORTH TO APPROX 28-05N50
FROM SHORELINE TO 15NM OFFSHORE, SOME REGRESSION TO THE NORTHWEST AS
WELL AS WIDENING OF THE SLICK 13 EXPECTED 25 - 27 FEB IRT SE OINOS9
29 @ FOLLOWING UPDATED PREDICTIONS PROVIDED IRT REFS B AND Co
SLICK BRAVO, SOURCES AT 29"4lN6 048-49ES AND 29-47N2 048-48E4.
SPILL ASSUMED CONTINUOUS FM 04/12Z FEB THROUGH EDP,, TYPE LIGHT CRUDE.
FORECAST WINDS SE 10@15 KTS GUSTS TO 20 THROUGH 27 FEB.
SLICK 8RAVOt
25/12Zi SLICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE BNG 150 DEG T TO 27-5ON4, WIDTH
APPROX 10"18NMI
26/12Z: SLICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE ONG 150 DEG T TO 28-00NOq WIDTH
APPROX 12@25NMO
27/12Z: SLICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE BNG 150 DEG T TO 28-05N5t WIDTH
APPROX 12-25NfAs
28/12Z: 84ICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE BNG 150 DEG T TO 28-OONOR WIDTH
APPROX 12"20NMO
01/12Z: SLICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE BNG 150 DEG T TO 27-5ON4. WIDTH
APPROX 12-25NM.
02/12Z: SLICK EXTENDS FM SOURCE ONG 150 DEG T TO 27-4ON3, WIDTH
APPROX 12-25N@Mi
NOTE: MODEL FCST DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR PERIODIC SPILLING BUT ASSUMES
CONTINUOUS SPILL PER REF C, BEYOND 60NM FM SOURCE EXPECT SLICK TO BE
DISCONTINUOUS AND SCATTERED PATCHES AND SHEENS.
3. @ NARRATIVE: FCSTD SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS CONTAIN SLICK ALPHA
BEHIND AND NORTH OF ABU ALI, RESULTING IN CONTINUED BEACH FOULING
AND ENTRAPMENT OF OIL WITHIN BAYS AND INLETS. REGRESSION OF SLICK
MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHWEST IS ALSO EXPECTEDQ SLICK BRAVO CONTINUES
TC SLOW AND RETREAT TO THE NORTHWEST IRT SOUTHEAST Vilt@IDS,
4, (U) NOAA OVERFLIGHT INFO VALID 25 FEB SUPPORTS PARA 3.@
5o (U) RELEASED BY CDR HALLe//
DECL/OADR//
ST
UNCLASSIFIED
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Document 2 f:/Week-35/BX300028/MESSAGE FILES 19-25 FEB 1991 CNA 2753/oil spill predictions 25 feb 91:1217960957512
Control Fields 17
File Room = sep96_declassified
File Cabinet = Week-35
Box ID = BX300028
Unit = USS MIDWAY
Parent Organization = NAVCENTCOM
Folder Title = MESSAGE FILES 19-25 FEB 1991 CNA 2753
Folder Seq # = 2
Subject = OIL SPILL PREDICTIONS 25 FEB 91
Document Seq # = 21
Document Date =
Scan Date =
Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980
Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980
Declassified = 17-DEC-1996