POINT PAPERS 15JAN91

File: 102596_sep96_decls16_0006.txt
Page: 0006
Total Pages: 16

Subject: POINT PAPERS 15JAN91                                            

Unit: OTSG        

Parent Organization: HSC         

Box ID: BX003202

Folder Title: UPDATE ON THE MEDICAL BIOLOGICAL WARFARE -BW- DEFENSE PROGRAM                                   

Document Number:          4

Folder SEQ  #:         22






                                                  [INCI ASSIFIED



        02 DL+           JAN 91 PP PP                           -&-MISG




        4-       IN ADDITION, DNA HAS DEVELOPED AN ENHANCED BW HAZARD

        PREDICTION METHOD WHICH IS COMPUTER ASSISTED AND MAY OFFER MORE PRECISE

        CONTAMINATION ESTIJIATES.

        E.       THE DEPLOYMENT AND INTEGRATION OF                           AND

        POINT DETECTION SYSTEMS CAN YIELD A DRAMATIC IMPROVEMENT IN DETECTION,

        FORCE PROTECTION, AN]) CONTAMINATION AVOIDANCE. WHILE INTELLIGENCE

        ESTIMATES ON THE LIKELIHOOD OF SW ATTACK BY IRAQ VARY, THE FIRST

        INDICATION OF ATTACK, UNTIL NOWI WOULD LIKELY BE OBSERVATION OF

        CASUALTIES.

        6.       A DRAFT CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS WAS FORWARDED TO YOUR STAFF ON

        22 DEC 90 FOR REVIEW AND COMRENT. KEY TO THE SUCCESS OF EARLY WARNING

        OF BW ATTACK IS THE SYNCHRONIZATION OF ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE
        INDICATORS TO CUE THE LAUNCH OF THE                     CAPABILITY. THE

        WORST CASE AND YET PROBABLE METHOD OF BW EMPLOYMENT IS LARGE AREA

        DISSEMINATION FROM SEA. WINDOWS OF VULNERABILITY, DETERMINED BY

        WEATHER ANALYSIS, MOVEMENTS,                     OTHER ASSETS MAY BE

        AVAILABLE IN AN ALL SOURCE COLLECTION CENTER TO DEFINE RISK PERIODS

        DURING WHICH THE                 SHOULD INCREASE READINESS TO DEPLOY.

        SCRAMBLING                     WHICH CAN REMAIN VIGILANT FOR SEVERAL

        HOURS, CAN PROVIDE EARLY WARNING OF MAN-MADE AEROSOLS. BASED ON












                                            UNCLASSIFIED

Document 16 f:/Week-36/BX003202/UPDATE ON THE MEDICAL BIOLOGICAL WARFARE -BW- DEFENSE PROGRAM/point papers 15jan91:10189613544417
Control Fields 17
File Room = sep96_declassified
File Cabinet = Week-36
Box ID = BX003202
Unit = OTSG
Parent Organization = HSC
Folder Title = UPDATE ON THE MEDICAL BIOLOGICAL WARFARE -BW- DEFENSE PROGRAM
Folder Seq # = 22
Subject = POINT PAPERS 15JAN91
Document Seq # = 4
Document Date =
Scan Date =
Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980
Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980
Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980
Declassified = 18-OCT-1996