CENTAF WEATHER SWO BULLETIN 45 JOAF 298

File: 110196_aacbu_01.txt
Page: 01
Total Pages: 4

SUBJECT: CENTAF WEATHER SWO BULLETIN 45 JOAF 298
DESCRIPTION: SYNOPTIC SITUATION WEATHER 20-21 JAN 91 WEATHER DISCUSSION AND FORECAST -NO ADDRESSES
ATTENTION: THE TFU HAS A NEW PHONE, [(b)(2)] PLEASE
ROUTE ALL MESSAGE TRAFFIC DESTINED FOR THE TFU TO RHIUFZA/CENTAF WEATHER. THANK YOU.
SWO BULLETIN 45
FOXX31 XXXX 200000
KQQG JOAF #298 VALID: 20/00002 TO 21/OOOOZ JAN 91
1. (U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION:
15Z SFC ANAL SHOWS A CLOSED LOW (lOlOMB, 26N/48E) OVR NERN SA. A
TROF XINDS SWWRD OUT OF THIS LOW ACROSS THE N CNTRL PENINSULA. THE
RED SEA TOF JOINS WITH THIS TROF PRODUCING TSTM ACTIVITY ALONG
THE WRN MTNS OF SA.. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS ALSO BEEN OBSERVED IN
THE NERN AOR IN THE VCNTY OF THE TROF/LOW. CONTINUITY SHOWS THE MVMT
OF THIS LOW TO BE SEWRD. A WEAK LOW IS LOCATED OVR NWRN SA 930N/38E),
CNTRL PRESS UNKN). NO WX WAS ASSOCD WITH THIS LOW AT ANAL TIME
A THIRD LOW IS PRESENT IN THE CNTRL MED AT APPROX 32N/25E
(lOl3MBS}. THIS LOW hAS BEEN STATIONARY SINCE THE PREVIOUS ANAL, AND
HAS PRODUCED AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE CNTRL AND ERN MED.
AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS CAUSED WIDESPREAD AM
FOG/ST FOR THE NRN, NERN AND ERN AOR. THESE CONDITIONS ARE XPCTD TO
PERSIST THRU THE NEXT 24 HRS. DURING THE NEXT 24HRS, THE STJ WILL
CONTINUE ITS WSW TO ENE ORIENTATION. SWVS WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE
THRU THE FLOW CAUSING ISOLD TS/RASH FOR THE NRN AOR. THE LOW NOW IN
NERN SA (AND ITS ASSOCD TROF) WILL DRIFT SLYLY SEWRD. AS IT DOES,
GUSTY HINDS CAN BE XPECTD IN THE VCNTY OF THE TROF WITH BLOWING SAND
POSSIBLE FOR AREAS-THAT HAVE REMAINED DRY.
2. (U) PART B: SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 21/12Z
POINT 1 POINT 2 POINT 3
(26N/52E) (22N/64E) (18N/40E)
TEMP (C) 21 24 27
WAVE DIR 010 050 130
PERIOD SEC 4 4 4
HEIGHT FT 4 8 8
3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
DMSP THERMAL FROM 19Z SHOWS THE EXTENSIVE BAND OF AC/CS ASSOCD W/THE
STJ IS THINNING ALONG THE CNTRL AOR. THIS BAND WHICH HAS PERSISTED
FOR THE PAST 3 DAYS NOW LIES OVR XTRM SW EGYPT AND NO SUDAN WHERE
THERE ARE NUMEROUS CBS TO 25N AND TO 33E. FROM THIS AREA, THE NRN
BOUNDRY OF THN CS IS FROM NRN RED SEAT TO 30N/40E TO 33N/47E AND
GROWING DENSER IN CNTRL IRAN. S OF THIS BAND, THE CONTINUOUS OVC AC/CS SHOWS THE CS ABV THE BKN TO OVC AC THINNING. THIS LIES S TO
20N IN SUDAN TO 24N/42E, 22N/43E TO ERN IRAN 27N/55E. A THN BAND OF
BKN CI XTNDS FROM 21N/45E TO 25N/52E, 60NM WIDE. SCT AC IS ALONG THE
WRN SA MTNS 22N TO 19N AND MTN WV ACTIVITY IS INDICATED. BKN SC
CAUSED BY OROGRAPHIC LIFT IS OVR THE UAE COAST 24N TO 22N. ST IN
IRAQ, KUWAIT AND NERN SA UNDERLIES THE THN CI. THE ST IS OVC PROM NE
OF BAGHDAD T0 THE ERN BORDER1 ACROSS THE S OF THE CITY AND PARTIALLY
OBSCURRING BAHR AL MILH (SW OF BAGHDAD), W TO 41E (SA-IRAQ BORDER), S