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C L A S
 SWO BULLETIN 45
 FOXXS1 XXXX 191159
 KGCK JOAF #359 VALID: 19/1200Z TO 20/1200Z FEB 91
 1. PART A: SYNCPTIC SITUATTON/24HR OUTLOOK: AT 00Z; A MORE SUBDUED
 PTRN THAN PREVIOUSLY. THE STNRY FRNT THRU TURKEY HAS WKND TO A TROF
 THAT LIES BTWN 40N/38E AND A 1011MB LCW AT 36N/25E. ANOTHER TROF
 XTNDS FRM THIS LCW S/SW TO 25N/22E. THIS TROF LINES UP WELL WITH
 AN UPPR LVL VORT WV SHOWN ON THE NODDS 00Z PANEL. BY THE BEGINNING
 OF THIS PERIOD, THIS TROF WILL MOVE ONTO THE SYRIAN/ISRAEL SHORELINE.
 IT IS XPCTD TO MOVE THRU THE NRN AOR MID/HI CIGS W/JSOLD
 TS/RASH. THE RED SEA TROF WAS ANALYZED BTWN 14N/34E AND A WK LOW
 CIRC AT50N/38E (APRROX 1015MB). A SECONDARY TROF WAS FOUND BTWN
 10N/34E AND 17N/44E. THIS LLCONV COUPLED W/UPSLOPE CONDS WILL ONCE
 AGAIN PRODUCE ISOLD TS ACTIVITY ALG THE MTNS OF SWRN SA. WK TROFG
 WAS ALSO FOUND IN NERN SA/NWRN GULF BTWN 31N/49E AND 25N/43E. HIGH
 PRESS WAS FOUND AGAIN IN NWRN IQ AT 55N/42E (1021MB), AND WAS RIDGING
 S INTO CNTL SA W/ANOTHER HIGH CNTR AT 21N/44E (1023MB). HIGH PRESS
 OF UNK INTENSITY WAS ALSO SHOWN RIDGING INTO IRAN AND AFGHANISTAN.
 AS THE WAVE W/REFLCTD SFC LOW AND TRCF MOVS INTO AND THRU THE AOR,
 ALSO XPCT GUSTY S/SW WNDS IN ADVANCE, AND STRNG W/NW WND GUSTS AFTER
 AS A RUSH OF COLDER AIR COMES IN BEHIND.  THESE WNDS WILL ALSO DIP
 INTO NRN SA AND VIS RSTCTNS DUE TO BLOWING SAND/DUST IS XPCTD. URRR
 OF  S/WVS THAT MOVE THRU SA THIS PERIOD APPEAR MUCH WKR CN THE
 FEST MODELS, AND ARE XRCTD TO C0 LITTLE MORE THAN ENHNC THE CU/SC/
 AC RESIDUE THAT PERSISTS IN WRN AND SWRN SA.
 2. SEA SURFACE DATA VT:20/00Z
		 (26N/52E)	 (22N/64E)	(18N/40E)
 TEMR(C) 	22 		24		 26
 WAVE DIR 	090 		030		 130
 PERIOD SEC	 4		 4 		4
 HEIGHT FT	 2		4		4
 3. PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION: L/WV RTRN RESEMBLES YESTERDAYS W/UPPR
 RIDGE OVR NE AFRICA XTHDG NNE ACROSS TURKEY AND THE BLACK SEA. L/WV
 TROF E OF AOR LIES ALG IRAN/PAKISTAN/AFGHANISTAN BRDR, TURNG SW ALG
 THE XTRM SERN ARABIAN PENN. STJ IN WRN HALF OF N. AFRICA XHBTS AN
 ABUNDANT AMT OF MSTR ON WTR VPR IMAGERY. STJ FLOW AND CLDS ARE BEING
 DAMPENED BTWN 20E AND 30E BY S/WV TRAVRSG ERN MED (36N/33E). BKN
 LYRD CLDS W/IM8D RASH WERE NOTED ALG SRN SHORES OF TURKEY W/ PASSAGE
 OF S/WV AXIS AT 06Z, AND OVR CYPRUS AT 09Z. S/WV CONTS ESE DVLPG MID
 AND UPPR LVL CLDS IN NW IO, THAT CONT TO ADVCT FURTHR SE W/FLOW.
 UPPR LVL DIFLUENT FLOW OVR CNTL TURKEY IS REFLCTD ON VORT CHARTS AS A
 SLOW MOVG VORT MAX. AS LEADING EDGE OF MAX WNDS IN STJ FLOW DIPS ESE
 INTO NW SA, XPCT MDT TURBC IN THE DIFLUENT AREA OVR IO. THE VORT
 PACKAGE IS HANDLING THE VORT MAX POSITION VERY WELL FRM 00Z TO 12Z AS
 IT ENTERS THE NRN AOR. BKN ACAS THRU CNTL SA ADVCT SE, SUPPORTED BY
 700MB TROF REFLCTG UPRR LVL S/WV (2SN/4OE). UNDER THE ACAS, ISOLD
 PTCHS-OF BKN SC XSIST. UPPR LVL DIFLUENCE OVR CNTL IRAN IS CREATING -
 T SKN CI W/SOME LYRD CLDS AND RASH OCCURG ALG THE ZAGROS MTNS IN
THE  VCNTY OF 35N/50E. NWRN P.C., AND XTRM NE SA, ARE HAMPERED BY
7

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