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File: 120596_aacln_01.txtSUBJECT: CENTAF SWO BULLETIN 45, REF: KQQG JOAF #317 U N C L A S SWO BULLETIN 45 FOXX31 XXXX 291200 KQQG JOAF #317 VALID: 29/1200Z TO 30/1200Z JAN 91 1. (U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION: ANALYSIS AT 29/OOZ SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN FROM THE USSR ACRS IRAN, IRAQ AND INTO THE ARABIAN PENISULA. TROFING EXTENDS ACRS THE ARABIAN GULF AND ACRS THE RED SEA. A LOW IS LOCATED IN THE EMED AT AT 34N/26E WITH A TROF EXTENDING TO THE WEST TO SICILY, A TROF EXTENDING SW ACRS NW EGYPT AND INTO LIBYA, A TROF EXTENDING SE ACRS NE EGYPT TO THE SINAI. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 5 TO lOKTS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN NW SAUDI AT 29N/41E. THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE AS THE NE-MONSOONAL FLOW ADVECTS LOW LVL MOISTURE ACRS THE REGION..IN THE UPPER LVLS, A S/WV OVR THE EMED IS ADVECTING LAYERED CLOUDINESS ACRS THE NORTHERN AOR. THE S/WV IS MOVING TO THE ENE AT - 40KTS, THUS OUTRUNNING THE SFC SYSTEM IN THE EMED AND GIVING THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN NW SAUDI SUPPORT FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THE LOW IN NW SAUDI IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN SLIGHTLY AS IT GAINS UPPER LVL SUPPORT AND TREK SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH AN ASSOC TROF. THE STJ ENTERS THE AOR IN SOUTHERN FGYPT AND EXTENDS EAST TO THE SRN ARABIAN GULF. A BRANCH OF THE PFJ EXTENDS SEWRD ACRS GREECE TO THF EMED AND --WRD ACRS SYRIA AND N IRAQ. A SHARED ENERGY JET MAX OF 130 KTS IS SITUATED OVR EMED/NRN EGYPT AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TO THE SAUDI/IRAQI/KUWAIT BORDER REGION BY EOP AS CAA FROM EUROPE DEEPENS THE LONGWAVE TROF OVR THE EMED AND WAA BUILDS THE RIDGE OVR EASTERN IRAN. THE LOW LVL SYSTEM IN THE EMED WILL UNDERGO FRONTOCENESIS BY EOP AS COLD AIR POURS INTO THE FMED. 2. SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 29/12Z POINT 1 POINT 2 POINT 3 (26N/52E) (22N/64E) (18N/40E) TEMP (C) 21 25 27 WAVE DIR 020. 360 130 PERIOD SEC 4 4 4 HEIGHT FT 3 4 4 3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION: LONG WV PATTERN OVR AOR PREDOMINATELY ZONAL WITH SLGT TROFG CAUSED BY A SIGNIFICANT S/WV IN THE EMED THAT REMAINS CTR OF ATTN THIS MORNING. CONTINUITY OF METEOSATS AND DMSR IMAGERY INDICATES THE WAVE IS MADE UP OF MAIN ADVCTN LOBE, WITH ANOTHER LOBE MASKED IN THE AREA OF PVA. THIS PRECEDING LOBE EXTENDFD SOUTHEASTWARD FROM VOTR 35N/27E AT OOZ. THIS ACCOUNTS FOR THE BKN ACAS OVR SINAI/JORDON, WHILE EMED/SYRIA/TURKEY IS COVERED BY THICK LYRD CICS AND ACAS. FROM OOZ TO 09Z LOBE CONTIUED TO TREK EASTWARD AT 25KTS WITH SRN EDGE SWINGING NORTHEASTWARD AT 4OKTS. LOCATION OF S/WV AS OF O9Z, 34N/33E, WITH MAIN VORT LOBE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO 27N/42E CAUSING BKN TO OVC CICS OVR IRAQ AND KUWAIT. RAPID CLRG OCCURS WITH WV PASSAGE. CNTRL PORTION OF AOR REMAINS MOSTLY CLOUD FREE WITH EXCEPTION OF SCT/BKN ST/SC IN CTRL SA SOUTH OF 24N THAT CONTINUES TO DRIFT WESTWARD WITH THE 850MB FLOW. SCT/BKN SC OF THE STRAIT OF
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