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Subject: INTSUM SFOB50 1113 91                                           

Unit: USASOC      

Parent Organization: SOCCENT     

Box  ID: BX004010

Folder Title: DESERT SHIELD AND DESERT STORM INTSUMS-SFOB 50-103-91 21 FEB-4 MAR 91                           

Document Number:         13

Folder Seq  #:         12


         ----Pi)-rTON ADMT@-TSTRATI-,V,E-PE@P,;r-              CITY OR MAY
        'DICATE THE BEGINNING OF  AN EVACUATION OF IRAQI FQRCES. JSTARS
    ,-'REPORTS NUMERCUS MTI'S IN  THE NAC AREA MOVING  NW TOWARDS THE IRAQI
    I
     "SO
        ,BOER. JSTARS HAS NOTED   SIMILAR ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE IN THEATER.
      NUMBERS WERE NOT PROVIDED.
      13. (U) COUNTERINTELLIGENCE/TERRORISM: NSTR.
      14.   (U) AMERICAN CITIZENS! NSTR.                             UNCLASSIFIED
      15.(@ F'OLITICAL ACTIVITY:
      A.    (U) EARLIER ON 25 FEBRUARY, BAGHDAD RADIO
      CARR@ED REPORTS OF GREAT BATTLES IN KUWAIT THAT WERE BEING WON BY
      IRAQ, FORCING BACK THE COALITION INVASION. DURING THE EVENING OF
      25-26 FEBRUARY, BAGHDAD RADIO CARRIED REPORTS THAT SADDAM HUSSAYN HAD
      ORDERED THE EVACUATION OF KUWAIT IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE SOVIET @EACE
      PROPOSAL. THE WHITE HOUSE BRIEFED THAT NO SUCH INTENT HAD BEEN
      COMMUNICATED TO THEM AND THAT THE WAR WAS STILL ON. IF IRAQ DID
      INTEND'TO LEAVE, THEY WOULD NOT BE PERMITTED TO EVF)CUATE THEIR
      EQUIF'MENT.@,
      B.(U@    THERE HAS BEEN NO CONFIRMATION THAT IRAQ IS WITHDRAWINGI
      ALTHOUGH BATTLEFIELD'REPORTING INDICATES SOME UNITS ARE PULLING BACK.
      CENTCOM REPORTING THIS MORNING AT 0600C INDICATES THAT THE IITH
      INFANTRY DIVISION AND ZRD ARMOR DIVISION VICINITY KUWAIT CITY MAY BE
      EVACUATING AND US ELEMENTS HAVE BEEN ORDERED TO MAINTAIN CONTACT AND
      PRESSURE.
      16(U)@    PROBABLE COURSES OF ACTION: IRAO'S ABILITY TO DEFEND THE
      KTO AT THIS TIME MAY BE ENTIRELY A FUNCTION OF UNIT COHESION AND
      WILLINGNESS TO RESIST. THE RADIO BAGHDAD ANNOUNCEMENT, IF VERIFIED
      BY BATTLEFIELD REPORTING THIS MORNING, MAY PRESAGE A PELLMELL
      WITHDRAWAL BY IRAQI FORCES TO THE SUPPOSED SAFETY OF S5 IRAQ. EVEN
      IF THIS IS TRUE, INDIVIDUAL UNITS ARE EXPECTED TO STAND AND FIGHT TO
      COVER THE WITHDRAWAL OF OTHER UNITS.     RESISTANCE IS LIKELY TO BE
NAC
      AREA, IRAQI UNITS, IF THEY STAND AND FIGHT, ARE CAPABLE OF HASTY
      DEFENSE ALONG THE MSR TO AL JAHRA AND LOCAL COUNTERATTACKS USING
      DIVSIONAL ARMOR ELEMENTS. IN THE EAC AREA, RESISTANCE BY THE ISTH
      AND BTH INFANTRY DIVISION AND THE 5TH MECH DIVISION IS EXPECTED TO
      CONTINUE TO COVER THE COAST ROAD AND SECURE THEIR WITHDRAWAL INTO
      KUWAIT CITY. LOCAL COUNTERATTACKS ARE STILL POSSIBLE BY MOTIVATED
      UNITS. ELSEWHERE IN KUWAIT, IRAQ RETAINS LARGE FORMATIONS OF
      UNCOMMITTED TROOPS. THESE UNITS ARE STILL CAPABLE OP COUNTERATTACKS
      AGAINST COALITION FORCES IF IRAQ DOES INTEND TO DEFEND THE KTO OR
      CONDUCT A FIGHTING WITHDR AWAL..   THE DEGRADATION OF IRAQI CZI AND
      THE DEMORALIZATION OF ITS TROOPS, COUPLED WITH COALITION AIR
      SUPERIORITY, WILL SERIOUSLY EVEN   FATALLY HANDICAF, IRAQI RESISTANCE
      SHOULD THEY CONTINUE TO DEFEND.    IRAQ RETAINS THE CAPABILITY TO
      LAUNCH SRBMS INTO ISRAEL AND SAUPI ARABIA. !RAO MAY ALSO RETAIN
      SOME CAPACITY TO CONDUCT TERRORIST ATTACKS.
      END OF MESSAGE


      BT




                                  UNCLASSIFIED



                                       S>
      NNNN                                 




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Document 4 f:/Week-46/BX004010/DESERT SHIELD AND DESERT STORM INTSUMS-SFOB 50-103-91 21 FEB-4 MAR 91/intsum sfob50 1113 91:01029718424671

Control Fields 17

File Room = sep96_declassified

File Cabinet = Week-46

Box ID = BX004010

Unit = USASOC

Parent Organization = SOCCENT

Folder Title = DESERT SHIELD AND DESERT STORM INTSUMS-SFOB 50-103-91 21 FEB-4 MAR 91

Folder Seq # = 12

Subject = INTSUM SFOB50 1113 91

Document Seq # = 13

Document Date = 

Scan Date = 

Queued for Declassification = 01-JAN-1980

Short Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980

Long Term Referral = 01-JAN-1980

Permanent Referral = 01-JAN-1980

Non-Health Related Document = 01-JAN-1980

Declassified = 02-JAN-1997