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Subject: IRAQI CW

Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence







TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN

REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN

TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF

THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON

REQUEST.







SEP 90







COUNTRY:          IRAQ

SUBJ:           REPORT PREDICTING THAT HOSTILITIES IN THE

GULF ARE NEAR AND DISCUSSING THE USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS

BY IRAQ

DOI:           1990







4. AS FOR THE IRAQI USE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS, THE REPORT

CONCLUDES THAT THE EFFECTIVENESS OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS IS DIMINISHED

IF THE APPROPRIATE MEANS TO DELIVER THEM IS NOT AVAILABLE. IRAQ

POSSESSES THREE MEANS OF DELIVERY:

A. SURFACE-TO-SURFACE MISSLES: IRAQ HAS NOT UNTIL NOW

BEEN ABLE TO MOUNT CHEMICAL WARHEADS ON THE MISSLES IN ITS

ARSENAL. THESE MISSLES WILL ALSO BE IMPAIRED BY THE ABILITY OF

U.S. FORCES TO INTERFERE WITH THE MISSILES







B. AIRCRAFT: U.S. FORCES HAVE A CLEAR TECHNOLOGICAL

ADVANTAGE OVER IRAQI FORCES IN THE AIR. THE U.S. DOMINANCE IN

THIS ARENA MAKES AIRCRAFT DELIVERY OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS BY IRAQ

EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

C. LONG RANGE ARTILLERY: IF IT IS USED EFFECTIVELY,

IT MUST STRIKE QUICKLY, BUT ITS IMPACT WILL ALWAYS BE LIMITED.

IN SUMMARY, THE REPORT SAYS THAT CHEMICAL WEAPONS ARE MORE USEFUL

IN PSYCHOLOGICAL WAR WITH THE U.S. AND ITS ALLIES THAN IN A REAL

WAR.







END OF MESSAGE







1.5(C)

63022-63022.

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