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Subject: IRAQI NUCLEAR

Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence







TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN

REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN

TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF

THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON

REQUEST.







MAR 91          DIRECTOR 581412







NOTWITHSTANDING BAGHDAD'S NPT COMMITMENT, WE STILL BELIEVE THE

CURRENT LEADERSHIP JUDGES A NUCLEAR WEAPONS CAPABILITY TO BE

ESSENTIAL TO MEET IRAQ'S SECURITY NEEDS AND TO FURTHER REGIONAL

AMBITIONS. FURTHERMORE, BASED ON BAGHDAD'S ACTIVITIES BEFORE THE







HOWEVER, COALISION AIR STRIKE DAMAGE TO THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH

CENTER, SUSPECT NUCLEAR FACILITIES, AND IRAQ'S INFRASTRUCTURE HAVE

PROBABLY DELAYED BAGHDAD'S EFFORTS BY SEVERAL YEARS.



WE BELIEVE THE TUWAITHA NUCLEAR RESEARCH CENTER

PROBABLY PLAYED A MAJOR ROLE IN

BAGHDAD'S EFFORTS TO DEVELOP A NUCLEAR WEAPON, BEYOND THE CIVILIAN

NUCLEAR RESEARCH THAT WAS ONGOING AT TUWAITHA, WE BELIEVE THE SITE

HOUSED IRAQ'S CLANDESTINE WORK ON URANIUM ENRICHMENT AS WELL AS A

SMALL FUEL REPROCESSING CAPABILITY.







ALSO CONCLUDED IRAQ HAD SEVERAL FACILITIES AT TUWAITHA THAT COULD

HAVE BEEN USED TO RECOVER HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM FROM THE

SAFEGUARDED FUELS. THESE FACILITIES--WHICH WOULD NOT REQUIRE

SAFEGUARDS UNTIL RELEVANT NUCLEAR MATERIALS WERE PRESENT--INCLUDED

LABORATORIES SUPPLIED BY







WE BELIEVE IRAQ˙WAS FOCUSING ON PRODUCING ABOUT 100-125 KG OF

HIGHLY ENRICHED URANIUM PER YEAR WITH MODIFIED VERSIONS OF THE URENCO

G-1 OR G-2 CENTRIFUGEs.







SINCE 1984, THE IRAQIS BUILT THREE NEW LABORATORIES AT TUWAITHA-

-WHICH WERE DESTROYED IN COALITION AIR RAIDS.







- ONE SUSPECT NUCLEAR SITE THAT HAS RECEIVED CLOSE ATTENTION IS

THE METAL FABRICATION PLANT AT AT TAJI. WE BELIEVE TAJI IS

ONE POSSIBLE SITE THAT THE IRAQIS COULD HAVE USED TO PRODUCE

GAS CENTRIFUGE COMPONENTS FOR THEIR CLANDESTINE URANIUM

ENRICHMENT PROGRAM.







END OF MESSAGE







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