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Subject: IRAQI CW

Not Finally Evaluated Intelligence







TO FACILITATE ELECTRONIC ACCESS, THIS DOCUMENT HAS BEEN

REFORMATTED TO ELIMINATE INFORMATION THAT DOES NOT PERTAIN

TO GULF WAR ILLNESS ISSUES OR THAT IS CLASSIFIED. A COPY OF

THIS REDACTED DOCUMENT, IN ORIGINAL FORMAT, IS AVAILABLE ON

REQUEST.







FEB 91     DIRECTOR 507804







SUBJECT:          BRIEFING

1.          FEBRUARY 1991







SUMMARY OF THE BRIEFING FOLLOWS.







CAN SCUDS ACTUALLY DELIVER CW WARHEADS WITH ANY ACCURACY?

IRAQ PROBABLY HAS CW WARHEADS FOR THE SCUDS, BUT DETONATING THEM

EFFECTIVELY IS A COMPLEX TASK.

ALSO, WE BELIEVE SADDAM THINKS THE TIME IS NOT YET

RIGHT TO USE CW, BECAUSE THE RISK OF US OR ISRAELI RETALIATION STILL

OUTWEIGHS THE BENEFITS OF A CW LAUNCH.







CAN YOU GIVE US AN ASSESSMENT OF THE OUTLOADING OF CHEMICAL

STORES AT H-3 AIRFIELD YESTERDAY? WE THINK IRAQ IS DISPERSING ITS

CHEMICAL WEAPONS AS A RESULT OF CONTINUED ALLIED AIRSTRIKES.

IS THE SHORT SHELF LIFE OF CHEMICAL WEAPONS PUSHING SADDAM TO

USE THEM QUICKLY? IF, AS WE SUSPECT, IRAQ HAS BINARY CHEMICAL

MUNITIONS CAPABILITIES, THE SHELF LIFE OF CHEMICALS WOULD NOT AFFECT

IRAQI STRATEGY.







END OF MESSAGE







1.5 (c)

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