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File: 970613_dsa71_91X_txt_0001.txt
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[b.2]







SERIAL:  DSA 71-91

/*********** THIS IS A COMBINED MESSAGE ************/

SUBJECT:  IRAQ-KUWAIT:  SITUATION UPDATE 
       

DOI:  22 JAN 91 (AS OF 0100 EST)
))
MAJOR POINTS
))
[b.1. sec 1.5(c)


2.       THE ABILITY OF IRAQ TO PRODUCE CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL
AGENTS HAS BEEN SERIOUSLY DEGRADED.



[b.1. sec 1.5(c)]

SADDAM MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY FRUSTRATED BY THE LACK OF SUCCESS
OF HIS SRBM FORCE IN ACHIEVING ASSIGNED MILITARY OR POLITICAL
OBJECTIVES.  AN ISRAELI COUNTERSTROKE HAS NOT BEEN PROVOKED, AND
THOSE MISSILES WHICH HAVE REACHED THEIR TARGETS HAVE RESULTED IN
ONLY NEGLIGIBLE DAMAGE.  ADDITIONALLY, THE MISSILES HAVE PROVEN
UNEXPECTEDLY VULNERABLE TO INTERCEPTION AND DESTRUCTION.  THESE
FAILURES MAY RESULT IN THE DECISION TO ESCALATE THE USE OF HIS SRBM
FORCE BY USING CHEMICAL OR BIOLOGICAL WARHEADS, PARTICULARLY
AGAINST

/****** BEGINNING OF SECTION 006 ******/
ISRAEL IN AN EFFORT TO ACH1EVE THE SUCCESS THAT HAS THUS FAR BEEN
DENIED.
12.       CHEMICAL/BIOLOGICAL WARFARE ACTIVITY.  THE ABILITY OF 1RAQ
TO PRODUCE CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL AGENTS HAS BEEN SERIOUSLY
DEGRADED.                                                                                               
[b.1. sec 1.5(c)]                                                    


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