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UNCLASSIFIED  

CONTINGENCY WEATHER PACKAGE

UNIT: 1ID 					 DTG: 02/1200Z   

PART I: PAST 24HRS SHALLOW HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILED ACROSS ALL OF THE 
AO DURING THE PROCEEDING 24HRS. THE WINDS WERE NORTHWESTERLY BECOMING EASTERLY THEN SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE THIS MORNING.    THE SKIES WERE CLEAR WITH SHALLOW FOG IN SOME OF THERE AREAS WITH STANDING WATER. OF COURSE SOME AREAS STILL HAD DENSE SMOKE. THE NORTHWESTERLIES ACROSS THE EASTERN KTO KEPT MOST OF SMOKE PLUME OVER THE GULF. THE TEMPERATURES AVERAGED 07-09C AT NIGHT, AND 19-22C DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE VISIBILITIES WERE 6KM TO 9999 DURING THE MORNING, AND 9999 DURING THE DAY. A SHORT-WAVE TROF IS NOW SKIRTING ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL IRAQ. ITS SURFACE REFLECTION IS A CYCLONE POSITIONED ABOUT 30NM WEST OF RAHFA (OERF). THE WINDS VEER ACROSS TO N SOUTH-SOUTUNEST ACROSS WESTERN SAUDI/IRAQ NEAR THIS FEATURE. THE SHORT-WAVE IS CAUSING SCT VRB BKN LOW/MID CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL IRAQ. NS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN THINNING AS REVEALED BY METSAT.

PART II: CURRENT CONDITIONS   

	A. SFC OBS OUT OF SOUTHERN IRAQ AND THE NEUTRAL, ZONE INDICATED CST SC AT 030FT AGL,  THE WINDS ARE SOUTHEASTERLY 10-12KTS OVER SOUTHEAST IRAQ, AND SOUTHWESTERLY AL 10-15KTS OVER THE WESTERN NEUTRAL ZONE. THE VISIBILITIES ARE 9999 ACROSS ALL LOCATIONS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE NO SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM KUWAIT.   WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SMOKE OVER KUWAIT METSAT DATA REVEALS CAVOK CONDITIONS.  

B. WW/WA/MWA STATUS: NONE 

PART III: FORECAST (OUT 24HRS) 

THE SHORTWAVE NOW ACROSS IRAQ WILL LIFT THROUGH KUWAIT TONIGHT. IT WILL BRING ONLY SCT VRB BKN SC TIL MIDNIGHT, AND PERHAPS FEW BRIEF 
OFF-SHORE SHOWERS. THE WINDS WILL BE EASTERLY, THEN SOUTHEASTERLY BY TOMORROW MORNING. VISIBILITIES WILL VARY DEPENDING ON THE TRAIL OF THE SMOKE PLUMES. THERE IS A DEEP FETCH OF NEAR-EQUATORIAL MOISTURE ALONG INK SUBTROPICAL JET. IT IS NOW TRACKING THROUGH EGYPT. A DEEPENING CYCLONE BOTH SURFACE AND ALOFT NOW LOCATED ACROSS THE MED IS STEERING THIS MOISTURE INTO NORTH AFRICA.   THIS FEATURE WILL APPROACH THE AO LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON IN THE FORM OF CI/AS CEILINGS. 

POINT FORECAST: VI: 02/12002 TO 03/1200Z  

FOR KUWAIT CITY:	11008/12KT 5000/FU 3FU010 WND 09005KT 15-03
			INTER 21Z-01Z 1500/FU
			BY 06Z 15010KT 7000/FU 3FU010 3CI250 (CIGNO)
			BY 10Z 15010KT 7000/FU 3FU010 2AC100 (CIG) 5CS200
			HI: 21C/LOW: 09C  

						ATCH 3 (2 OF 3)

			UNCLASSIFIED

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